Wednesday, February 24, 2016

When two left paws try and make one right outdoor wine-table

Wednesday, February 24, 2016 0
oldbearnews editor


Well - not many know this - probably just as well
This bears first love was timber-work - or carpentry!
I still love working with timber - bringing out the character of the grain etc . . ..
Sadly I did not make it into the apprenticeship scheme.  Something about two left hands and one crook eye. Or was it one crook hand and two left eyes??
Thus I got into the other passion of mine - and got an apprenticeship in pastry cooking.  Hmmmm both are creative jobs  . . . .
Food went well - bears - urm - true story you know - can smell Nutella from as far as three miles away!
Anyhow - bear with me  <---- Bad pun - naughty bear!!


Recently I found a clever idea on the net - and decided now that I am older
and while I still have two left hands, my eyesight however has been corrected - yuss - urm *cough* to give this a whirl at home - after all how hard can that be to make one of these?!?!?!?!  Right?




After a lot of planning and designing and (you know - measure 5x and cut once)  eventually some plain old NZ pine got turned into this!
Not half bad.  As is custom in Maori culture - the first of something newly made - you give away as a present to someone else - or you will never make another one!
This particular urm out-door wine table got given as a present to a scout friend of mine, who shared far to many km in his van with me and don't get me started on camping nights!  :)
It even had an outing before Christmas . . . .
baptized so to speak






N O W

my turn - yussss

A serious planning meeting was called for and some more research needed to be done. I wanted a NZ native timber table - none of the imported woods to be used!!
 I was very lucky to pick up some rings from a saw-mill on our west-coast a few weeks back.  The chap there was only to happy to use his chain saw and sluice of a half inch round ring from a 500 year old Rimu tree that was blown over in the bad storm they had two years back. I took the rings home and was very happy until when - wham-bammm - they SPLIT!  Bugger!!  They dried out so quick, it split them right down the middle - hmmmmm
Do I toss them into a bath and let them soak up some moisture? Then again - I could use the split as one entry point for - the glass??  Hmmmm

More research was called for.
Back to the planning committee meeting.


Eventually decided to give Halswell Timber a ring and yes they have what I needed - some tongue and groove flooring - just the right thickness.
They also have some Matai and Totara and some Red Beech.
I drools (and endless possibilities go through my head with lightning speed) - then remind myself of my limited funds and the wrath of my partner should I decide to be totally irrational . . . .

Back to the committee meeting - were a serious discussion had been had about budgets and priorities.
What I really was after - is some Tawhero - alas - it is no longer milled!
Check out this website - it gives some samples on what the timber grain looks once cut and processed:
http://www.timberarts.co.nz

Eventually this bear came to a resolution - and put the rings in "storage" and would invest into one linear meter of tongue and groove Rimu flooring - all of 19mm thick.  All I would have to do is . . . . .
yup - measure 5 times and cut once.
Then apply a liberal dose of liquid nails and put the said tongue into the groove and apply some pressure to make them fit tightly together and then - urm - wait . . . . .
- urm for 25 hours minimum.

Time to take a shower and have a drink and mull over today's achievement and plan for tomorrow . . . . .



February 25th - am time

The clamps have been removed!
Patience was never my strong side!
Amazingly the liquid nails did their job and even more amazingly the plate remained straight.  Often when gluing three or more pieces together they can warp (when you put on the bracing strain) and you end up with a wee hollow. To counter this you also put a piece of timber at 90degrees across the plate.   You might just see the two smaller clamps holding a piece across in the previous image. Truth is told - it probably should have had one on BOTH sides . . . . . .
I actually for a while considered the need for some doweling - but then realized - it is TONGUE AND GROOVE!! perfic  :)

Next step is for the planning committee to meet with a designer / interior architect and make a major decision - round or square???
One would be less work - the other looks better! The Finance sub committee will also need to be consulted as It would require the purchase of some round hole drill bits . . . . Wonder what the outcome of those meetings will be . . .



February 25th - pm time

Not so great news - the workforce has met with their union rep and had a discussion about the ethics of working for little reward in 33 degree heat. Post meeting the worker asked politely if he could have the afternoon off and enjoy a cool blond while cooling down at the pool. In his favor - he did cite some obscure Geneva Convention Industrial Law and the precedent from 1976. . . . .
In order to keep the workforce happy and on-site - the cool blond was granted - the pool side escapade declined.  Guess that is the end of today's effort.
Just as well I always have a minimal stock of blonde's around the house.

Meanwhile - I have to prep for tonight's planning committee meeting and the potentially disastrous meeting with the Finance subcommittee.  I think a bottle of white along with some flowers and perhaps a romantic candle lit dinner might sway the arguments in my favor - we shall see!!
ok - flowers - check - white in fridge - check - dinner prep - hmmmmmm semi check -   :)


Friday February 26th - am time

Well - best laid plans - sometimes go west.  The treasuruer treasurey money-person ended up working late - so by the time she got home the flowers had wilted / Dinner was cold and became a microwave affair and the candle - well - gave its last light some time before that.  So no serious discussion took place - rather the weekend needed sorting.  Sighs

On another news front - the workforce has not turned up neither - claiming excessive tanning! Turns out that the half hour outside recently has urm "tanned" their back rather nicely and is now in need of some tender loving care.  Moisturizer has been mentioned  (not of the drinkable kind).
The workforce, so I am informed, is now also having a discussion with the  health and safety people (simultaneously <-- wow I got that rightly spelled) while enjoying the cool soothing rubbing hands from Nurse Gladys Emmanuel who is applying the moisturizer  and no doubt, will be advising the management on the need to wear proper outdoor weather gear!  I shall get a written report on this no doubt sometime soon.


MEAN-while -- not to be discouraged - management (that's me) has decided to do its bit and cut a previously aquired  accuired  received Rimu post - to size.
So out came the heavy tools - and yup - measured 5 x and cut once! So then the  post measuring 2 inches x 4 inches was squared up to 2 inches.  After that it needed sanding - so out came the other piece of mashinery machinory urm - gear and yup made it nice and smooth.  Then applied some liberal oil urm - on the post that is.
It needs a hole at the bottom for the piece of steel to be glued in (acting as a spike) and later on, some sort of shelf for the bottle to be resting on.  That however will be a job for the workforce, once they come back from their health and safety meeting - which - rumor has it, could drag into the weekend.
Something about the need and right to smell the roses!! Honestly - we have only two rose-bushes at home and they are not aromant  aeromatic - urm smelly!! 
Hmmm guess no further work will be done today!

Meanwhile - I still have to have that talk with the  urm money-person!


Monday February 29th - post lunch time

No roses were found to smell - however the soothing waters of the hot water pools in the National Thermal park did just do the same trick. The workforce certainly seemed happy to come back from a weekend of relaxing and have since been awaiting instructions from management for the project to go forward.  This time the management can be blamed for dragging its feet.  To my credit - I did go out and try and source the right tools / materials.  Alas - the local store was either under stocked - or not stocked at all.
The search has since been completed online (you gotta work cleveerly clearleyer - smarter ) - and we think we just found the right gear across town.
Only hassle is - it will be from a rival company to the Treasurers work place - so she might just have to bite the bullet and let me go there instead. Not that we have yet discussed - or even agreed to a budget.
Meanwhile, while the workers had been enjoying the soothing hot waters, the management went and bypassed the planning committee and consulted with - urm - some 'consultants' on the design of the table top (round or square) over a decent bottle of red grapes.
It was a productive - if long meeting.  After a lot of considerations on the shape and ethics of round vs square - a compromise was reached that might work actually way better then round or square!! The suggestion is make it into a octagon.  yuss!!!!
 Now we just have to get some sort of drawing and feed that info to the workforce and they then can proceed with the 'cutting to shape' process.


Thursday March 24th
It has been a while - to much has been happening since the last day of work!
The workers had aprochet  approaced  met and asked the management when their due holiday would be available and if the business would close altogether.
Not wanting to get into a bun fight - the annual leave was granted / booked / taken and enjoyed. Both management and workforce have been away on a secret location in New Zealand and have since returned and are raring to go.  
The workforce has been fed the master-plan and after - yup measure 5 x - cut once, made a semi decent octagon!  After that the need to buy the round hole-drill-bits were flagged away and the recently newly aquiered aqariued bought Scroll saw got set up and made use of.  The round holes turned out ok. Further cut / shaped and sanded were the hinges.  Management insisted that the only artificial (metal) thing on the wine table was to be the spike at the bottom - so this proofed to be a bit of a challenge.  It also kept the Finance committee happy!!!
The little tray that holds the bottle up was designed / cut / shaped and sanded and glued together.   Eager to press on, the Management pressed the workers to drill a hole in the post and glue in the hinges.  Tricky bit that was as you do not want the glue to get between the hinges and the post!  Eventually after a lot of consultations and head-gymnastics this was achieved.  
The work force has a nagging feeling that the designers still have stuffed up and are working strictly to the union rules  a n d  the plans, such as they are being supplied (on a paper napkin). 
Meanwhile - the Planning committee has been consulted and a suitable oval hole has been drawn and cut so that the fingers have enough room to grip and carry. This is getting exciting - the workers and management are looking forward to complete this project and start another one - first things first though! The table top has been lined up and glued to the hinges - and surprise surprise - they swing up and down (after the curing time had passed) ONLY to find out that the workers were right after all and a monomretal monumatel large error had been made by the planning team.
Their suspicion has indeed been confirmed - that the management and planning committee make things up as they go along - and with that come surprises - such as that the table won't fully tip down and the tray for the bottle to rest needs to be higher THUS the octagon needs re-shaping.  Sighs

A job for tomorrow









Have fun! bear print

Monday, February 15, 2016

There are no short cuts in life - you can however take a shortcut through the Cemetary

Monday, February 15, 2016 0
oldbearnews editor

"There a two certainties in life - death and taxes" 
Not sure which of the ancient wise dudes said that (some Greek or Roman wise guy?!)
However he seems right.
Taxes we can try avoid paying - cheat on even! Emphasis on try - I am sure the local tax collection agency will catch up with you eventually.  Your 'end of life' however is a given (and hopefully later then sooner) fact.  The only way the above statement by our Greek wise-guy can be wrong is, if you live in Monaco and are about 2-5ooo years old . . . . . . .
hmmmmm

Anyhow - Cemeteries are an interesting place and sometimes I would take a group of youth to some remote god-forsaken place on the westcoast and ask them to find me the oldest and youngest buried person (along with instructions on how to be 'respectful') and consider the possible 'life stories' behind them.
There is even ONE grave in Milford Sound.
When eventually they find a baby (3 or 5 days old and in one case still born from around 1860 )  buried - they soon get the message on how save/privileged they are and appreciate their own life a little bit more. Occasionally they find a person who was lucky enough to have lived to 90 or so years of age and his funeral being around mid 1880's - so the question is - where from to NZ - how many changes in their life so they can be here . . . .    how much hard work (no phone/power/medic/etc)!
Always challenging thoughts for the youth of today. . . . . .

Today - I took a short cut through the local Cemetery and these days I always carry my camera with me - so took the opportunity to take one or two pic's!
It was an opportunity to good to miss.
This particular cemetery is almost full - in fact - I think there is only one space left.

The headstones are nicely arranged and laid out.  Now, for most folk who know this scribbler  poet  urm - writer
you would know that Christchurch has suffered a large number of strong earthquakes and I was expecting lots more headstones to have fallen over.
Seems most of them have stayed up-right.













My own brother passed away far to soon via an accident.  He had a knack of always finding an empty spot for car-parking no matter how busy a place was, and since he's passed away I never have any trouble myself in that department.  It is almost like he's watching me from the beyond and shared his 'skill' with me.  Seeing this angel standing guard - it reminded me of Manfred!









'Earth to Earth' - so the saying goes and you know - earth has a habit of reclaiming what we have wrestled away from mother nature. Just give it some time and space.  This is often evident in places like this.
It is left up to the Families to look after the graves and when they move away - the graves tend to get neglected and soon enough nature claims its space back.  We have been to some West Coast cemeteries and seen some very neglected places.  That of course goes begging the question on why humans bury their dead and so forth -  and you know - I am not wise or old enough to make any comments on that! Should have asked that wise Greek dude from way back . . . .

Anyhow - time to - urm - move on and enjoy life - or do something constructive


Have fun


 bear print

Saturday, January 9, 2016

Drop dead gorgeous scenery near Lake Tekapo is killing people

Saturday, January 9, 2016 0
oldbearnews editor


Hmmm
you know when this old elderly *cough* slightly mature bear is on the road, then it is a given that, subject to certain substances consumed, there have to be the occasional pit stop to urm drain excess fluid from the system.
When you gotta go - you gotta go - right?!
Anyhow - I was pleased that there always has been a  convenient public toilet in the car-park of the Lake Pukaki look out. Now - Ladies - I have no idea what your plumbing system looks like having never been inside a ladies rest room and I sure do not want to find out.  Quite why you would want to have a "rest" in a ladies "rest room" is beyond me. Nor do I need to know what you gal's actually do in there. If you belief television it is more about powdering the nose or something. I guess the same goes the other way - many ladies will have little clue what the inside of a men's public toilet looks like.  Well let me tell you, that most of them have a urinal - guess that is not something you find inside the ladies????
What is a urinal I hear you ask??
It is at best usually a long metal wall about so high, with a drain on the bottom all designed to catch the drips and run those urm drips away into whatever sewer system exists.  At worst it is a plain long drain in the ground. 

Scouts are famous for making / building outdoor urinals / Latrines and some urm watering places in some countries have virtually no privacy at all - there are some very public versions to experienced in France for example.






Some more modern versions have these semi half round very posh white porcelain bowls over which you stand and aim and woe and behold if you miss - your toes get a free wash!!!
Some even have a tiny wee half sized divider sticking out inbetween the white bowls.
Dividers???
Why dividers?
Well
See
There exists one unwritten, universally understood, globally accepted, never explained but very well known rule that you never ever under any circumstances do you look SIDEways while doing your - urm - waterworks (unless you are testosterone competitive driven teenager). To do so would instantly incur the wrath of your fellow male urm pinkler. Something about comparing sizes or male challenges of ego . . . .   You barley acknowledge the other person and at BEST you can have a conversation about the weather.  Unless of course you are one of the aforementioned testosterone laden young male.  This bears remembers certain competitions involving heights . . .   Ah those were the school days.




Anyhow - I transgress.


The routine among males is more along the lines of - go in / unbutton/zip / point water gun / shoot / empty / dribble / zip-up or button up - all the while resolutely looking straight ahead at the wall in front of yourself. - THEN go and wash hands afterwards. 
Of course advertisers know this!! Where else would you have such a captive audience ?? There is nothing to do BUT to read whatever piece of paper / image is in front of you! You get about 20-60 seconds advertising time - water works and your age depending.  As you get more - what was it, oh yeah - maturer you donate less and less - but you make up for it by going more often, just to read the advertising! :)

Thus ---  Advertising heaven!!

Urm - yes well, there was this one as well . . . . . .











This bear has seen his fair share of graphic images. This one however was new!!
It is an image put out by the "South Canterbury Road Safety Organisation"!
Well firstly, I never knew such an .org existed - secondly - jolly good idea.
As you can see it is written in five languages (although you could argue that German is missing) and is very clear and succint to the point - it needs to be - remember = 20-60 seconds attention span. (please - ladies - do not infer that this is all the attention span a man can muster)
What got me is the amounts of dots in certain spots.  The main highway south from Christchurch to Dunders is not overly surprising.  Inland route though somewhat was.  So imagine, here is me trying to slow down the  *cough*  liquid donation sequence in order to get some more time to read this.
Running out of time - urm - liquid - I did something else you should never ever under any circumstances do inside a public toilet - I whipped out my cellphone
 A F T E R   the chap two lines to my left has - urm left, and snapped this image!

Turns out - the Ladies 'rest-rooms' have a similar version in their public no wait - private space - so Mamabear later confirmed! There is an image of this on each door! Guess the gal's do not have a Latrine so their "captive" moment is on the bowl you sit . . . . .   hmmmm anyhow

Basically I wanted to take home a reference - whence the quick snapped photo - as I knew I would likely forget the name or org that I need to look this up later on ! As it was - I did just do that (forget that is) until yesterday.  Something about getting older and forgetful.
Hang on a sec - who said that!??

Anyhow the very quick 20 sec glance I had inside the public toilet near Lake Pukaki more or less confirmed what I had suspected for a long time.
You will see the "Legend" which lists the type of crashes in the past 5 years
or more to the point what caused the crashes in the last 5 years in this region!
They are nicely colour coded circles:
Distraction / Fatigue / Incorrect lane position/ To fast or lost control
New Zealand is heavily pushing an anti speed campaign.
During the major holidays it has zero tolerance to breaking the speed limit - a 100km on the open road.
Their slogan is 'speed kills'  or  'the faster you go the bigger the mess you make'.
(not surprising given the ways cars are constructed these days)
Anyhow - my gut feeling (no- not that of feeling drained and empty) - rather you know that feeling you get in your gut when you are suspecting something but can't confirm or put on a firm hand - urm grip on it - has at last shown some promise.  The Speed icon featured FAR less in the Inland Canterbury region then at first suspected.    I wonder if this is symptomatic of New Zealand as a whole????
Secondly the 'Distraction' seemed to be the highest placed icon.  Now being distracted could mean anything - from text-ing while driving, sorting out the fighting kids in the back seat or changing the radio station to yes - forgetting that you are driving while you are starring at the beautiful scenery.
I wonder if there is a further breakdown on "Distraction" avaible??
Would be a shame if the  gorgeous scenery near Lake Tekapo is killing our tourists!
I shall have to use my friend Google . . . . .
Have fun

PS - here is the link -->  http://www.scrs.org.nz/



bear print







26/1/2016 
bahahahahaha

Guess whats been published in todays "The Press"  - online?!?!?!


http://www.stuff.co.nz/motoring/76214007/south-canterbury-toilets-provide-road-safety-messages-for-foreign-drivers


South Canterbury toilets provide road safety messages for foreign drivers

TIM FULTON

Last updated 08:01, January 26 2016

A South Canterbury public toilet with one of the region's new road crash maps with messages for tourists
SUPPLIED
A South Canterbury public toilet with one of the region's new road crash maps with messages for tourists
South Canterbury's public toilets have become a novel location for pitching road safety messages to tourist drivers.
Maps in public toilets showing crash sites over the past five years are giving safety warnings in Chinese, Indian, Japanese and Filipino.
The maps, placed above urinals and on the inside of toilet doors, also link readers to websites with road safety messages in 14 languages.
Tourists are being given the safety warnings and driver tips at 60 public toilets around South Canterbury.
South Canterbury road crashes from 2011 to 2015, as displayed on maps in toilets around the region.
FAIRFAX NZ

South Canterbury road crashes from 2011 to 2015, as displayed on maps in toilets around the region.

READ MORE:
* Opinion: The most dangerous month for foreign drivers is coming
* One million foreign drivers are on their way, but should we be afraid of them?
* Crash data shows danger level of foreign drivers
 

South Canterbury Road Safety co-ordinator Daniel Naude said the signs were mostly aimed at foreign tourists, and toilets provided a captive audience.

It was difficult to get people to read road safety information, but he realised signs in toilets could make for good reading for "30 seconds when there's nothing to do".
Daniel Naude has been using signs in public toilets to warn tourists about the risks of driving in New Zealand.

Daniel Naude has been using signs in public toilets to warn tourists about the risks of driving in New Zealand.
The past year had been especially bad for serious-injury crashes in South Canterbury and nationally, he said. NZ Transport Agency (NZTA) statistics showed 625 injury crashes were reported in South Canterbury from 2011 to 2015. Just over 50 – or 8 per cent – involved overseas drivers.
Of all the crashes in that time, 44 per cent were a result of crossing or turning, while 24 per cent involved losing control or colliding head-on at a bend. A further 4 per cent involved drivers overtaking, crashing head-on, or losing control on straight roads.
Naude said tourists were especially vulnerable if they thought New Zealand roads were quick and easy. A 300-kilometre drive from Christchurch to Queenstown looked like a breezy three hours, but was much tougher.
The toilet map sites included Geraldine, Fairlie, Tekapo, Twizeland Mt Cook.
Naude was negotiating with Department of Conservation for more maps around Mt Cook, and had heard from a Queenstown business group interested in the idea. He hoped NZTA's crash statistics for last Christmas, expected to be available by March, would show the signs had made a difference.
Highlighting road crashes was not popular, but the public response had mostly been positive, Naude said.
In a bizarre tribute, someone had stolen one of the signs from a toilet at Tekapo. "I don't know . . . maybe they liked the frame or something."
The maps cost South Canterbury's three district councils just a few thousand dollars and were based on NZTA's national crash statistics from June 2010 to June 2015.
Queenstown Lakes District Council transport manager Denis Mander said he had seen one of the maps at a toilet at Pukaki and thought the idea was "brilliant".
The council was working with NZTA on road safety programmes for tourists in Otago and Southland, including information for hotel guides.
The material would include estimated journey times, especially for busy routes like Queenstown to Milford Sound, which tourists mistakenly thought was a fast drive.
NZTA, tourism operators and southern councils were also putting safety messages on the back of buses and in rental car handouts, and more rumble strips were being added to roads.
NZTA road safety staff in Christchurch were not immediately aware of the map rollout.







Wednesday, January 6, 2016

The new bridge across Lake Tekapo

Wednesday, January 6, 2016 0
oldbearnews editor



While doing some research last year -  I stumble on an very early-ish aerial Photo of the Lake Tekapo River and the Church of the Good Shepherd.  Actually I think the focus was the original bridge across the river - and the neighbourly pub just of to the right of this image.  This is the first bridge and it got dismantled when the NZ Government decided it was an ideal location for a power station and a dam.  The bridge would have been submerged and lost forever.  As I understand it - the timber got recycled for various projects.   Seeing that Tekapo seems to be our regular holiday haunt and we have a soft spot for the area - we got very interested when it appeared that the town would build a special foot bridge - in order to avoid crossing the main road twice on the way from town to the lake front with is famous church. Fund-raising for this project began several  years ago and after some delays (including the realisation that the wrong steel was used - which had to be re-made) the new bridge was finally ready. So naturally when we had a spare day - we decided to be mad and go there just for a night.  Luckily for us we got a room just for the night (sounds devious??) and were able to walk on said new bridge. This image was taken from the top of Mount John Observatory - just to give a comparative view. 

Have to say - when the Church was originally build - it would have been more like a barn in a big field and the world famous view out of its altar window would have been significantly different. The raised lake adds to the grand imagery for sure!

Anyhow - to cut a long story short - as soon as we found out that the new bridge was open and we had a spare day - we decided to go there and walk across it.  First impression - good!! Landscaping at either end yet to be completed. I also noticed that the planks were made out of wood and some had been engraved (with the sponsors names or people who made $$ contributions via fund-raising) and some of those names (after only 3 months of being laid) have already faded in the harsh summer sun.
Further - the timber used (as any timber will do) has lifted and moved as it dried out - so there is up to 10mm hight difference from one plank to the next. It might become a tripping hazard.  On the other hand - the council may yet do more work on that aspect - because in winter this could be very icy and slippery so the gaps might not make any difference in the long run.  One hopes so.

In any case - it was a simply stunning day and yours truly in photographic heaven.  The newly acquired wide angle lens got a decent work out as did the rest of the gear.  We went there principally to take pictures of the bridge and somehow still ended up with many more of the church itself. 


The bridge gives a new vantage point - right over the middle of the canal and lets you change the angles towards the Church of the Good Shepherd.

Some landscaping yet to be done and one wonders if they leave the pine tree standing . . . . .











From the highest point of the bridge looking towards the church and mountain range.  We commented on the lack of snow on the tops.  We saw more snow when we were here last in late summer with my cousin Doris!! It does change round the views!!

It is a very busy place - on the outside - and everyone is jostling to get the "just" right picture.  Funnily enough most churches would give an arm and leg to have that  many people in or around their church.  Inside it is another story!!
The lake level was low and here half the bridge is visible.  Hmm the imported pest of a plant - the Lupins -  have been and gone with their flowers - I am sure they would add a lot of colour the scenery!!
You can no longer take pictures inside the church - much to the disappointment  of the very many hobby/professional picture snappers. You can however use a very powerful telephoto lens and stand way back and hope like mad that no one walks into the frame . . .    It is however not the same.  We did notice that the atmosphere inside the church has returned to something akin of peace and holiness.  You can sit and reflect on the grand gesture of our maker in creating such a wonderful backdrop and your very own and some say insignificant place in the universe - without having to listen to the constant pushing and shuffling and click click of various over-eager and often frustrated photographers.   I am still wondering if there is a business opportunity waiting (you know - recreate the interior look next door and then charge xx$$ per minute for anyone who wants to capture THAT look) to be explored.  
Anyhow - back to the reason why we came here - new wide-angle lens and the bridge!!! Clearly some people before me had walked across this particular spot as the grass was trodden down to almost a permanent path . . . . 






Best time to take a pic - late summer evening around dinner time! Less people around and the lighting makes this an easy shot to take.  Usually there is always part of one or other wall that is in shadow an this makes for difficult conditions.   We had walked from our room to the restaurant and I only had my cell-phone with me - and it was one of those spur of the moment things - turns out it was one of the better images from the whole trip!!





















Before dinner - as in during the late afternoon, we decided given the weather forecast and limited time we would go up to the Mount John Observatory.  I am glad we did do just that in the end.  First surprise - there is now a toll gate at the bottom of the drive - asking for a $5 parking fee.  REALLY????   In New Zealand???  Since when???   Sad to see that coming more and more into practise.  We also had to wait as it seemed there was no parking space left at the top.  Luckily for us and 3 minutes later and a short but lovely chat with the young girl from overseas who - urm *cough* manned* the gate, we were allowed to drive up.  (and swears at un-educated foreign drivers coming back down)
The view from up top - as always with Blue dome days - is just stunning.  I took a series of photos and stitched them together for a panoramic view!  It is as blue as the photo shows! The Uni has also seen its wisdom and had yet another student from overseas present on-site, who had the main telescope up and running and yes we saw (despite the daylight) the next nearest sun to our own solar system (Centaurs Alpha) - amazing these telescopes!!! One small version was set up to show us Mount Cook (or just the very top of it) and yes it was sunny and visible - but not for much longer.  The best thing though - was the telescope that was trained towards the sun and I saw some real life solar flares.  The above image is taken from the internet but it pretty much is how we saw it - red bright disk with the *smoke-like* flares going of to the sides - and yes there were a good number of them.  Hmmmm - do I invest in yet another gadget to be able to capture that with my own camera???  It was mind-blowingly stunning to see with your own eyes!!




The view from the garden right outside our lodgings! It was a lovely 26 degrees and just a gentle breeze and we had dinner already and the sun does not set until post 9pm along with a prolonged dusk time (it does go eventually completely dark well past 10pm) so we took the opportunity and sit outside along with our home made desert (rich chocolate cream cake) and we cracked open a Riesling and just chilled out until it got dark - by which time it was clear that there would be no night photography possible - the weather forecast was spot on with the flow of air - it brought lots of rain clouds in from the Tasman sea. Guess we might not see Mount Cook the next day when we leave for home again.





We decided that it is a crime to come this far and not stop at Lake Pukaki and spot his grand majestic mountain of New Zealand, so made the decision to go home the long way (adding some 250km to the journey).  Yes the weather had closed in and there was no mountain visible - the first time ever for me of all the times we had been there - and I guess - given the weather records in this region we, so far, have been extremely lucky with Mount Cook!  Still traditions are to be honoured and we got out a bottle of bubbly (non-alcoholic in this years case - given the long travel back home) and
poured a glass or two and did the traditional salute to the grand majestic mountain. Well we had to visualise his presence.  During the time we spent there we counted 10 camper-vans parked or coming and going and 4 tour buses as well as countless cars.
It was the case of spot the native Kiwi. Have to say - we saw far to many Motorhomes (converted from old buses) and yes we got a little bit envious - this is what we would like to do - sel up and tour the country with no restraints on time or places.    hmmmmm that will keep!!
We also bought the usual Salmon Fillet - all 3 kg of it - which always makes a super nice meal the next day at home.

We counted only 13 trucks (other then  the Milk truckers who have to go daily) so the driving to and from was very relaxed and easy flowing. Especially once you get off the normal beaten track.  We headed for Mamabears favourite power-station near Omarama and on to Kurow were we spotted some famous hay-bales.  They were supposed to be of Minnon fame - according to the news paper from 4 days back - alas it is from the recent Rugby world cup and its most famous son - Richie McCaw!! Of course - had to take a pic!!
Late lunch there and some cruising of the local stores and found a new Vineyard (or better - its shop front) and naturally had to sample their wines.  Folks we are in trouble - they were good and they want us to become members (with whatever benefits they can offer) and they SHIP to Christchurch.  Sighs.  From there it was past a very sleepy Waimate (not surprising - it is not a tourist town so nothing was open!!) and back home! 

Well long story short - we came - saw- and conquered - urm - sort of - we went and saw the new bridge which looks good and took to many pictures of the famous church and had a fun time relaxing and sadly coming back home again.
Farewell Tekapo - till next time


Have fun

 bear print

Friday, December 18, 2015

How health and Safety can ruin a perfectly good Christmas

Friday, December 18, 2015 0
oldbearnews editor Please be advised that all employees planning to dash through the snow in a one-horse open sleigh, going over the fields and laughing all the way are required to undergo a Risk Assessment addressing the safety of open sleighs. The assessment must also consider whether it is appropriate to use only one horse for such a venture, particularly where there are multiple passengers. Please note that permission must also be obtained in writing from landowners before their fields may be entered. To avoid offending those not participating in celebrations, we request that laughter is moderate only and not loud enough to be considered a noise nuisance. Benches, stools and orthopaedic chairs are now available for collection by any shepherds planning or required to watch their flocks at night. While provision has also been made for remote monitoring of flocks by CCTV cameras from a centrally heated shepherd observation hut, all facility users are reminded that an emergency response plan must be submitted to account for known risks to the flocks. The angel of the Lord is additionally reminded that prior to shining his/her glory all around s/he must confirm that all shepherds are wearing appropriate Personal Protective Equipment to account for the harmful effects of UVA, UVB and the overwhelming effects of Glory Following last year’s well publicised case, everyone is advised that legislation prohibits any comment with regard to the redness of any part of Mr. R. Reindeer. Further to this, exclusion of Mr. R Reindeer from reindeer games will be considered discriminatory and disciplinary action will be taken against those found guilty of this offence. While it is acknowledged that gift-bearing is commonly practised in various parts of the world, particularly the Orient, everyone is reminded that the bearing of gifts is subject to Hospitality Guidelines and all gifts must be registered. This applies regardless of the individual, even royal personages. It is particularly noted that direct gifts of currency or gold are specifically precluded under provisions of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act. Further, caution is advised regarding other common gifts, such as aromatic resins that may initiate allergic reactions. Finally, for those involved in the recent case of the infant found tucked up in a manger without any crib for a bed, Social Services have been advised and will be arriving shortly. Wishing you a very Merry Christmas – be safe out there....... bear print

Wednesday, December 16, 2015

Modern day court jesters are failing to deliver the goods on climate change

Wednesday, December 16, 2015 0
oldbearnews editor


Modern day court jesters are failing to deliver the goods Court jesters have been around for millennia. Their job is what I would call a non-productive role. A court jester traditionally did not produce anything trade-able- they never baked bread or worked with the black smith. Goods that would have an immediate benefit to the other person or even the whole local village. You will never find a court jester in the "traditional" trades - that’s not their role. Their role is to use music or stories in order to entertain the noble men during some down time or festivals - read - as in - if and when required at the whim of their masters. Thus a court jester is in "employ" and on the goodwill of their master.

With that comes one major drawback. Basically - they stay "employed" for as long as they please their masters. For as long as they provide the goods they have a place at their masters side. Should they displease the master once to often - they can be at best out of their realm - meaning they have to travel and find another willing pay master or at worst, it is of with their heads. Either way - their lively hood was under severe threat - and as many travelling minstrels found out - their repudiation precedes them and it is not so easy to displace the incumbent at a possible new masters table.


History will tell you a great number of jesters - some more famous then others. One of the earliest recoded "court jesters" existing was David. He gained his role at King Saul’s palace because it seemed at the time that only his harp playing skills would sooth the frayed kings nerves. There are countless numbers of court jesters in the middle ages - the German word for them is "Hofnarr" Eventually they gained a better repudiation and were able to "sell" their skills on equal terms. In a sense they were the first self employed non-trade people. Musicians and composers came from that back ground. Mozart was still a slave to the whims of the rich and famous - the Strauss family started to dictate who when and and how much they charged for any concert or music services provided. Modern day singers / entertainers / actors etc of course have a much wider audience and have a loyal following - thus keeping them well fed. That is if you are an established person. It is hard to "break into that market" Just ask any aspiring model working shifts as waiters in the many restaurants in Los Angeles waiting for their 'big break'. . . . Being a traditional court jester had one major benefit though - you had the masters ear. You had some influence. You could 'guide' major decisions in certain directions. At David’s time - eventually he became King himself - more on that later.
Modern day scientists are what I regard as the new court jesters. They do not contribute anything materialistic measurable to their society. They have the ear of their pay masters (governments / Universities and other organisations). They are in the same boat as our biblical David - having to produce reports that are in line to their masters liking.

There is just one teeny weeny wee problem. Being 'yay' sayers they feed the masters thinking. So if that thinking itself is flawed - they feed that flawed thinking!? yes?! Remember - if you displease them - you are out of a job - so naturally they have a vested interest . . . .

Alex Newman writing for the 'New American' ( Embarrassing-predictions-haunt-the-global-warming-industry) writes about the embarrassing predictions that haunt the global-warming industry.

It makes for very interested reading ( I copy and paste the full article below)

His opening paragraph:
It is often said that non-scientists must rely on “expert opinion” to determine whether claims on alleged “catastrophic man-made global warming” are true. Putting aside the fact that there is no global-warming “consensus” among experts, one does not have to be a scientist, or even proficient in science, to be able to review past predictions, and then form an informed opinion regarding the accuracy of those predictions. Suppose, for example, you regularly watch a local TV weatherman forecast the weather for your area. Would you need a degree in meteorology in order to decide for yourself how reliable, or unreliable, the weatherman’s forecasts are?

Alex's researched premise is, that so far, not one of the hundreds of predictions our well paid scientists have forecast in the last 50 - 60 years have come to actually pass. The most famous of those failed predictions (remember - perfectly scientifically researched) was the time (early 1970's) when our experts said that Scotland would be under permafrost by the year 2000 to 2010 due to global cooling. I do remember the time this was announced and the furore and changes it caused in Europe. Well - here in in late 2016 - I am still waiting for any evidence of that scientifically fore-casted event in Scotland to materialize.

More from Alex:  
(Another jester) - From White House Science “Czar” John Holdren. “A growing body of evidence suggests that the kind of extreme cold being experienced by much of the United States as we speak is a pattern we can expect to see with increasing frequency, as global warming continues,” he claimed. That assertion, of course, is exactly the opposite of what the UN “settled science” IPCC predicted in its 2001 global-warming report, which claimed that the planet would see “warmer winters and fewer cold spells, because of climate change.” Ironically, perhaps, Holdren warned decades ago that human CO2 emissions would lead to a billion deaths due to global warming-fuelled global cooling — yes, cooling, which he said would lead to a new ice age by 2020.

Most alarmingly though (and yes I have experienced this myself) is Alex's  closing paragraph:
Few people would make an important decision based on next week’s weather forecast. When it comes to “climate,” though, the $360 billion-per-year climate establishment is telling humanity that civilization must be reorganized from top to bottom based on failed models purporting to make predictions decades and even centuries in advance. Flawed predictions aside, a great deal of evidence suggests accuracy or truth was never the intent — generating fear to seize more money and power was (and is). Many top alarmists have admitted as much, with some responding to the implosion of their theories with calls for censorship or, more extreme still, the imprisonment, re-education, and even execution of “climate deniers.”

The Earth’s climate has always changed, and very likely will continue to change, regardless of what humans do. What is now clear, though, is that the establishment has no idea what those changes will be — much less what drives the changes or how to control them.


So - anyone brave to read this rant from this old bear  --- I dare you to go and start a conversation with anyone you care to choose - really - anyone, and state categorically that you do not believe in man made climate change and be prepared for the fireworks!

Thus the court jester has stepped beyond his role - and just like biblical David who replaced Saul as King- so have our modern day climate scientists become our masters despite the fact that to-date they have failed to accurately forecast any global climate event!!

With some scientists and yes some politicians calling for censorship or, more extreme still, the imprisonment, re-education, and even execution of “climate deniers" is it any wonder that many Sceptics keep their own council??

Actually they have to make these calls - it is after all their new gained status as king that is at stake . . . . . . .

God help us all



bear print








Here is the full text from Alex:

It is often said that non-scientists must rely on “expert opinion” to determine whether claims on alleged “catastrophic man-made global warming” are true. Putting aside the fact that there is no global-warming “consensus” among experts, one does not have to be a scientist, or even proficient in science, to be able to review past predictions, and then form an informed opinion regarding the accuracy of those predictions.
Suppose, for example, you regularly watch a local TV weatherman forecast the weather for your area. Would you need a degree in meteorology in order to decide for yourself how reliable, or unreliable, the weatherman’s forecasts are?
Warnings have been issued for many decades now regarding catastrophic climate change that forecasted certain trends or occurrences that we should already have witnessed. Yet such predictions have turned out to be very, very wrong. This was certainly the case with the alarmist predictions of the 1960s and ’70s that man’s activities on Earth were causing a catastrophic cooling trend that would bring on another ice age. And it is also the case with the more recent claims about catastrophic global warming.
What follows is a very brief review of these predictions compared to what actually happened.
Global Cooling?
Americans who lived through the 1960s and ’70s may remember the dire global-cooling predictions that were hyped and given great credibility by Newsweek, Time, Life, National Geographic, and numerous other mainstream media outlets. According to the man-made global-cooling theories of the time, billions of people should be dead by now owing to cooling-linked crop failures and starvation.
“If present trends continue, the world will be about four degrees colder for the global mean temperature in 1990, but 11 degrees colder by the year 2000,” claimed ecology professor Kenneth E.F. Watt at the University of California in 1970. “This is about twice what it would take to put us in an ice age.” Of course, 2000 came and went, and the world did not get 11 degrees colder. No ice age arrived, either.
In 1971, another global-cooling alarmist, Stanford University professor Paul Ehrlich, who is perhaps best known for his 1968 book The Population Bomb, made similarly wild forecasts for the end of the millennium in a speech at the British Institute for Biology. “By the year 2000 the United Kingdom will be simply a small group of impoverished islands, inhabited by some 70 million hungry people,” he claimed. “If I were a gambler, I would take even money that England will not exist in the year 2000 and give ten to one that the life of the average Briton would be of distinctly lower quality than it is today.” Of course, England still exists, and its population was doing much better in 2000 than when Ehrlich made his kooky claims. But long before 2000, Ehrlich had abandoned global-cooling alarmism in favor of warning that the Earth faced catastrophic global warming. Now he is warning that humans may soon be forced to resort to cannibalism.
To combat the alleged man-made cooling, “experts” suggested all sorts of grandiose schemes, including some that in retrospect appear almost too comical to be real. “Climatologists are pessimistic that political leaders will take any positive action to compensate for the climate change, or even to allay its effects,” reported Newsweek in its 1975 article “The Cooling World,” which claimed that Earth’s temperature had been plunging for decades due to humanity’s activities. Some of the “more spectacular solutions” proposed by the cooling theorists at the time included “melting the arctic ice cap by covering it with black soot or diverting arctic rivers,” Newsweek reported.
Of course, the big alleged threat hyped in recent decades has been global warming, not global cooling. But the accuracy of the climate-change predictions since the cooling fears melted away has hardly improved.
United Nations “Climate Refugees”
In 2005, the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) warned that imminent sea-level rises, increased hurricanes, and desertification caused by “man-made global warming” would lead to massive population disruptions. In a handy map, the organization highlighted areas that were supposed to be particularly vulnerable in terms of producing “climate refugees.” Especially at risk were regions such as the Caribbean and low-lying Pacific islands, along with coastal areas.
The 2005 UNEP predictions claimed that, by 2010, some 50 million “climate refugees” would be frantically fleeing from those regions of the globe. However, not only did the areas in question fail to produce a single “climate refugee,” by 2010, population levels for those regions were actually still soaring. In many cases, the areas that were supposed to be producing waves of “climate refugees” and becoming uninhabitable turned out to be some of the fastest-growing places on Earth.
In the Bahamas, for example, according to the 2010 census, there was a major increase in population, going from around 300,000 in 2000 to more than 350,000 by 2010. The population of St. Lucia, meanwhile, grew by five percent during the same period. The Seychelles grew by about 10 percent. The Solomon Islands also witnessed a major population boom during that time frame, gaining another 100,000 people, or an increase of about 25 percent.
In China, meanwhile, the top six fastest growing cities were all within the areas highlighted by the UN as likely sources of “climate refugees.” Many of the fastest-growing U.S. cities were also within or close to “climate refugee” danger zones touted by the UN
Rather than apologizing for its undisputable mistake after being first exposed by reporter Gavin Atkins at Asian Correspondent, the global body responded in typical alarmist fashion: with an Orwellian coverup seeking to erase all evidence of its ridiculous predictions. First, the UNEP took its “climate refugees” map down from the Web. That failed, of course, because the content was archived online prior to its disappearance down the UN “memory hole.
Then the UNEP tried and failed to distance itself from the outlandish claims, despite the fact that the map was created by a UNEP cartographer, released by UNEP, and repeatedly hyped by the outfit in its scaremongering campaigns. Eventually, as more and more media around the world began picking up the story, a spokesperson for the UN agency claimed the map was removed because it was “causing confusion.”
It was hardly the first time UN bureaucrats had made such dire predictions, only to be proven wrong. On June 30, 1989, the Associated Press ran an article headlined: “UN Official Predicts Disaster, Says Greenhouse Effect Could Wipe Some Nations Off Map.” In the piece, the director of the UNEP’s New York office was quoted as claiming that “entire nations could be wiped off the face of the earth by rising sea levels if global warming is not reversed by the year 2000.” He also predicted “coastal flooding and crop failures” that “would create an exodus of ‘eco-refugees,’ threatening political chaos.”
Other UN predictions were so ridiculous that they were retracted before they could even be proven wrong. Consider, as just one example, the scandal that came to be known as “Glaciergate.” In its final 2007 report, widely considered the “gospel” of “settled” climate “science,” the UN IPCC suggested that Himalayan glaciers could melt by 2035 or sooner. It turns out the wild assertion was lifted from World Wildlife Fund propaganda literature. The IPCC recanted the claim after initially defending it.
Pentagon Climate Forecasts
Like the UN, the Pentagon commissioned a report on “climate change” that also offered some highly alarming visions of the future under “global warming.” The 2003 document, entitled “An Abrupt Climate Change Scenario and Its Implications for United States National Security,” was widely cited by global-warming theorists, bureaucrats, and the establishment press as evidence that humanity was facing certain doom. It also served as the foundation for the claim that alleged man-made “climate change” was actually a “national security concern.” However, fortunately for the taxpayers forced to pay for the study, the Pentagon report turned out to be just as ridiculous as the UN “climate refugees” forecasts.
By now, according to the “not implausible” scaremongering outlined in the report for a 10-year time period, the world should be a post-apocalyptic disaster zone. Among other outlandish scenarios envisioned in the report over the preceding decade: California flooded with inland seas, parts of the Netherlands “unlivable,” polar ice all but gone in the summers, and surging temperatures. Mass increases in hurricanes, tornadoes, and other natural disasters were supposed to be wreaking havoc across the globe, too. All of that would supposedly spark resource wars and all sorts of other horrors. But none of it actually happened.
The Pentagon report even claimed there was “general agreement in the scientific community” that the extreme scenarios it envisioned could come to pass, and reporters treated it as if it were a prophecy delivered to climate sinners by God Himself. However, when interviewed by the Washington Times for a June 1, 2014 article, consultant and report co-author Doug Randall expressed surprise at how often the now-debunked forecasts were parroted. Yet he still defended the hysterical fear peddling. “When you are looking at worst-case 10 years out, you are not trying to predict precisely what’s going to happen but instead trying to get people to understand what could happen to motivate strategic decision-making and wake people up,” Randall said. “But whether the actual specifics came true, of course not. That never was the main intent.”
The first article about the climate report appeared in early 2004, when the report was leaked to the U.K. Observer, under the sensationalistic title: “Pentagon tells Bush: climate change will destroy us.” In a bullet-point summary at the top of the Observer article, journalists Mark Townsend and Paul Harris added: “Secret report warns of rioting and nuclear war” and “Britain will be ‘Siberian’ in less than 20 years.” The rest of the article was just as outlandish, going even beyond what the now-discredited Pentagon report claimed. Other reporters took their cue from the Observer article, which in retrospect would have been a hilarious piece of writing if it had not been taken so seriously at the time.
No More Snow?
For well over a decade now, climate alarmists have been claiming that snow would soon become a thing of the past. In March 2000, for example, “senior research scientist” David Viner, working at the time for the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) at the University of East Anglia, told the U.K. Independent that within “a few years,” snowfall would become “a very rare and exciting event” in Britain. “Children just aren’t going to know what snow is,” he was quoted as claiming in the article, headlined “Snowfalls are now just a thing of the past.”
The very next year, snowfall across the United Kingdom increased by more than 50 percent. In 2008, perfectly timed for a “global warming” legislation debate in Parliament, London saw its first October snow since 1934 — or possibly even 1922, according to the U.K. Register. “It is unusual to have snow this early,” a spokesperson for the alarmist U.K. Met office admitted to The Guardian newspaper. By December of 2009, London saw its heaviest levels of snowfall in two decades. In 2010, the coldest U.K. winter since rec­ords began a century ago blanketed the islands with snow.
In early 2004, the CRU’s Viner and other self-styled “experts” warned that skiing in Scotland would soon become just a memory, thanks to alleged global warming. “Unfortunately, it’s just getting too hot for the Scottish ski industry,” Viner told The Guardian. Another “expert,” Adam Watson with the Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, told the paper that the skiing industry in Scotland had less than two decades left to go. Yet in 2013, too much snow kept many Scottish resorts closed. “Nevis Range, The Lecht, Cairngorm, Glenshee and Glencoe all remain closed today due to the heavy snow,” reported OnTheSnow.com on January 4, 2013. Ironically, by 2014, the BBC, citing experts, reported that the Scottish hills had more snow than at any point in seven decades. It also reported that the Nevis Range ski resort could not operate some of its lifts because they were “still buried under unprecedented amounts of snow.”
The IPCC has also been relentlessly hyping the snowless winter scare, along with gullible or agenda-driven politicians. In its 2001 Third Assessment Report, for example, the IPCC claimed “milder winter temperatures will decrease heavy snowstorms.” Again, though, the climate refused to cooperate. The year 2013, the last year for which complete data is available, featured the fourth-highest levels on record, according to data from Rutgers University’s Global Snow Lab. Spring snow cover was the highest in a decade, while data for the fall indicate that it was the fifth highest ever recorded. Last December, meanwhile, brought with it a new high record in Northern Hemisphere snow cover, Global Snow Lab data show.
Blame Global Warming?
After the outlandish predictions of snowless winters failed to materialize, the CRU dramatically changed its tune on snowfall. All across Britain, in fact, global-warming alarmists rushed to blame the record cold and heavy snow experienced in recent years on — you guessed it! — global warming. Less snow: global warming. More snow: global warming. Get it? Good.
The same phenomenon took place in the United States just last winter. As record cold and snowfall was pummeling much of North America, warming theorists contradicted all of their previous forecasts and claimed that global warming was somehow to blame. Among them: White House Science “Czar” John Holdren. “A growing body of evidence suggests that the kind of extreme cold being experienced by much of the United States as we speak is a pattern we can expect to see with increasing frequency, as global warming continues,” he claimed.
That assertion, of course, is exactly the opposite of what the UN “settled science” IPCC predicted in its 2001 global-warming report, which claimed that the planet would see “warmer winters and fewer cold spells, because of climate change.” Ironically, perhaps, Holdren warned decades ago that human CO2 emissions would lead to a billion deaths due to global warming-fueled global cooling — yes, cooling, which he said would lead to a new ice age by 2020.
Ridiculous forecasts have been made by other “climate scientists” who, like Holdren, continue to reap huge amounts of U.S. taxpayer dollars in salaries, grants, and benefits despite being consistently wrong. James Hansen, for instance, who headed NASA’s Goddard Institute for three dec­ades before taking a post at Columbia University, is one of the best known “climatologists” in the world — despite his long and embarrassing record of bad forecasting spanning decades.
In 1988, Hansen was asked by journalist and author Rob Reiss how the “greenhouse effect” would affect the neighborhood outside his window within 20 years (by 2008). “The West Side Highway [which runs along the Hudson River] will be under water,” Hansen claimed. “And there will be tape across the windows across the street because of high winds. And the same birds won’t be there. The trees in the median strip will change.... There will be more police cars … [since] you know what happens to crime when the heat goes up.” In 1986, Hansen also predicted in congressional testimony that the Earth would be some two degrees warmer within 20 years. In recent years, after the anticipated warming failed to materialize, alarmists have cooled on predicting such a dramatic jump in temperature over such a short period of time.
Separately, another prominent alarmist, Princeton professor and lead UN IPCC author Michael Oppenheimer, made some dramatic predictions in 1990 while working as “chief scientist” for the Environmental Defense Fund. By 1995, he said then, the “greenhouse effect” would be “desolating the heartlands of North America and Eurasia with horrific drought, causing crop failures and food riots.” By 1996, he added, the Platte River of Nebraska “would be dry, while a continent-wide black blizzard of prairie topsoil will stop traffic on interstates, strip paint from houses and shut down computers.” The situation would get so bad that “Mexican police will round up illegal American migrants surging into Mexico seeking work as field hands.”
When confronted on his failed predictions, Oppenheimer, who also served as former Vice President Al Gore’s advisor, refused to apologize. “On the whole I would stand by these predictions — not predictions, sorry, scenarios — as having at least in a general way actually come true,” he claimed. “There’s been extensive drought, devastating drought, in significant parts of the world. The fraction of the world that’s in drought has increased over that period.” Unfortunately for Oppenheimer, even his fellow alarmists debunked that claim in a 2012 study for Nature, pointing out that there has been “little change in global drought over the past 60 years.”
Arctic Ice
Perhaps nowhere have the alarmists’ predictions been proven as wrong as at the Earth’s poles. In 2007, 2008, and 2009, Al Gore, the high priest for a movement described by critics as the “climate cult,” publicly warned that the North Pole would be “ice-free” in the summer by around 2013 because of alleged “man-made global warming.”
Speaking to an audience in Germany five years ago, Gore — sometimes ridiculed as “The Goracle” — alleged that “the entire North Polarized [sic] cap will disappear in five years.” “Five years,” Gore said again, in case anybody missed it the first time, is “the period of time during which it is now expected to disappear.”
The following year, Gore made similar claims at a UN “climate” summit in Copenhagen. “Some of the models … suggest that there is a 75 percent chance that the entire north polar ice cap, during some of the summer months, could be completely ice-free within the next five to seven years,” Gore claimed in 2009. “We will find out.”
Yes, we have found out. Contrary to the predictions by Gore and fellow alarmists, satellite data showed that Arctic ice volume as of summer of 2013 had actually expanded more than 50 percent over 2012 levels. In fact, during October 2013, sea-ice levels grew at the fastest pace since records began in 1979. Many experts now predict the ongoing expansion of Arctic ice to continue in the years to come, leaving global-warming alarmists scrambling for explanations to save face — and to revive the rapidly melting climate hysteria.
Gore, though, was hardly alone in making the ridiculous and now thoroughly discredited predictions about Arctic ice. Citing climate experts, the British government-funded BBC, for example, also hyped the mass hysteria, running a now-embarrassing article on December 12, 2007, under the headline: “Arctic summers ice-free ‘by 2013’.” In that piece, which was still online as of July 2014, the BBC highlighted alleged “modeling studies” that supposedly “indicate northern polar waters could be ice-free in summers within just 5-6 years.” Incredibly, some of the supposed “experts” even claimed it could happen before then, citing calculations performed by “super computers” that the BBC noted have “become a standard part of climate science in recent years.”
“Our projection of 2013 for the removal of ice in summer is not accounting for the last two minima, in 2005 and 2007,” claimed Professor Wieslaw Maslowski, described as a researcher from the Naval Postgraduate School who was working with co-workers at NASA to come up with the now-thoroughly discredited forecasts about polar ice. “So given that fact, you can argue that may be [sic] our projection of 2013 is already too conservative.” (Emphasis added.) Other “experts” quoted in the BBC article agreed with the hysteria.
In the real world, however, the scientific evidence demolishing the global-warming theories advanced by Gore, the UN, and government-funded “climate scientists” continues to grow, along with the ice cover in both hemispheres. In the Arctic, for example, data collected by Europe’s Cryosat spacecraft pointed to about 9,000 cubic kilometers of ice volume at the end of the 2013 melt season. In 2012, which was admittedly a low year, the total volume was about 6,000 cubic kilometers.
Indeed, in 2007, when Gore and others started making their predictions about imminent “ice-free” Arctic summers, the average sea-ice area extent after the summer melt for the month of September was 4.28 million square kilometers. By 2013, even on September 13, the minimum ice-cover day for the whole year, ice levels were way above the 2007 average for the month — by an area almost the size of California. The lowest level recorded on a single day during 2013 was 5.1 million square kilometers. By late July 2014, Arctic sea-ice extent was almost at its highest level in a decade, and scientists expect even less melting this summer than last year.
Despite parroting the wild claims five years ago, the establishment press has, unsurprisingly, refused to report that Gore and his fellow alarmists were proven embarrassingly wrong. No apologies from Gore have been forthcoming, either, and none of the “scientists” who made the ridiculous predictions quoted by the BBC has apologized or lost his taxpayer-funded job. In fact, almost unbelievably, the establishment press is now parroting new claims from the same discredited “experts” suggesting that the Arctic will be “ice-free” by 2016.
Antarctic Ice
Even more embarrassing for the warmists have been trends in the Southern Hemisphere. Of course, all of the “climate models” and “climate experts” and “scientists” predicted that rising CO2 emissions would increase global temperatures, which would melt the ice in Antarctica — by far the largest mass of frozen H2O on the planet. Indeed, the forecasts were crucial to many of the other predictions about surging sea levels and related gloom and doom.
The problem for global-warming theorists is that the opposite happened. Indeed, sea ice in Antarctica is off the charts, consistently smashing previous record highs on a near-daily basis. Sea-ice area in the south is now at the highest point since records began — by a lot — and the warmists are searching frantically for an explanation. Some are, incredibly, considering their past forecasts, trying to blame global warming. But the fact remains: Their predictions for Antarctica were as wrong as they possibly could be. Instead of melting as forecasted, ice levels are surging to new and unprecedented heights. As of early July, an area of the southern oceans the size of Greenland is frozen that, based on the average, should currently be open waters. If both poles are considered together, there is about one million square kilometers of frozen area above and beyond the long-term average.
Even UN warmists have been forced to concede that they do not know what is going on or why their “climate models” that predicted melting have been proven so wildly off the mark. “There is low confidence in the scientific understanding of the observed increase in Antarctic sea ice extent since 1979, due to … incomplete and competing scientific explanations for the causes of change,” the IPCC admitted in its latest report. For now, the warmists have simply been trying their best to keep the public from noticing or examining the phenomenal growth in Antarctic ice.
As The New American reported earlier this year, the desperation and denial among warmists was illustrated perfectly in December. A ship full of global-warming alarmists led by a “climate scientist” went on a mission to study how “global warming” was melting Antarctic ice. Instead of completing their mission, they ended up getting their vessel trapped in record-setting levels of sea ice.
Obama Claims
In his second-term inaugural address, Obama also made some climate claims, saying: “Some may still deny the overwhelming judgment of science, but none can avoid the devastating impact of raging fires and crippling drought and powerful storms.” Ironically, all three of the examples he provided of what he called the “threat of climate change” actually discredit his argument.
As Forbes magazine pointed out last year, the number of wildfires has plummeted 15 percent since 1950, and according the National Academy of Sciences, that trend is likely to continue for decades. On “droughts,” a 2012 study published in the alarmist journal Nature noted that there has been “little change in global drought over the past 60 years.” The UN’s own climate alarmists were even forced to conclude last year that in many regions of the world, “droughts have become less frequent, less intense, or shorter.”
Regarding hurricanes and tornadoes, it probably would have been hard for Obama to choose a worse example to illustrate the alleged threat of man-made warming. Contrary to predictions by global warmists, hurricanes and tornadoes have been hitting in record-setting low numbers. “When the 2014 hurricane season starts it will have been 3,142 days since the last Category 3+ storm made landfall in the U.S., shattering the record for the longest stretch between U.S. intense hurricanes since 1900,” noted professor of environmental studies Roger Pielke, Jr. at the University of Colorado, who last year left alarmists who had predicted more extreme weather linked to alleged global warming silent after pointing out the facts in a Senate hearing. “The five-year period ending 2013 has seen two hurricane landfalls. That is a record low since 1900.” After adjusting the data for trends such as population growth and better reporting, it appears that 2013 also featured the lowest number of tornadoes in the long-term record.
In June 2008, Obama declared: “I am absolutely certain that generations from now, we will be able to look back and tell our children … this was the moment when the rise of the oceans began to slow and our planet began to heal.” He was referring, of course, to his own election, as if he were some sort of savior here to save humanity from its carbon-climate sins. In the real world, though, despite his grandiose and bombastic view of himself as global climate messiah, Obama has no more power to stop the “climate” from changing than his legions of discredited “experts” have demonstrated to successfully predict it.
Also ironically, perhaps, is that there had been no global warming since long before he took office. Worldwide, the disastrous forecasts by climate alarmists have proven to be similarly embarrassing. By now, anybody who follows “climate” news knows that “global warming” has been on what alarmists call “pause” for 18 years and counting, despite ongoing increases in CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere. The stubborn refusal of temperatures to rise (and accelerate) as forecasted by all of the UN’s 73 “climate models” has discredited the models, the UN, and the alleged “science” behind the computer forecasts. Every single model predicted more warming than has occurred, an atrocious record that defies explanation. Even a monkey rolling the dice or a scam artist pretending to read the future from a crystal ball would have a better record, based only on the laws of probability.
Of course, alarmists have come up with at least a dozen excuses for the failure of temperatures to rise in accordance with their debunked models. The Obama administration’s favorite: the theory of “The Ocean Ate My Global Warming.” Last year, the Associated Press, citing leaked documents, reported that the U.S. government had pressured the UN IPCC to incorporate that excuse, for which there is not a scintilla of observable evidence, into its most recent global-warming report.
A Prediction
The website Watts Up With That (WUWT), run by meteorologist and climate researcher Anthony Watts, highlighted the embarrassing record in late 2013 following a particularly devastating year for “climate” predictions. “It seems like every major CAGW [Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming] prediction has failed in 2013,” the article explains, citing a vast trove of scientific data debunking alarmist forecasts. “Regardless of efforts to nebulize CAGW to explain all forms of climatic and weather variation, in 2013 every loosely falsifiable prediction of the CAGW narrative seems to have failed. The apparent complete failure of the CAGW narrative in 2013 could make the most fundamentalist agnostic wonder if Mother Nature sometimes takes sides, aka the Gore Effect.” Perhaps the Almighty has a sense of humor.
Few people would make an important decision based on next week’s weather forecast. When it comes to “climate,” though, the $360 billion-per-year climate establishment is telling humanity that civilization must be reorganized from top to bottom based on failed models purporting to make predictions decades and even centuries in advance. Flawed predictions aside, a great deal of evidence suggests accuracy or truth was never the intent — generating fear to seize more money and power was (and is). Many top alarmists have admitted as much, with some responding to the implosion of their theories with calls for censorship or, more extreme still, the imprisonment, re-education, and even execution of “climate deniers.”
The Earth’s climate has always changed, and very likely will continue to change, regardless of what humans do. What is now clear, though, is that the establishment has no idea what those changes will be — much less what drives the changes or how to control them.












Thursday, December 3, 2015

How Rudolph the red nose reindeer saves time . . . .

Thursday, December 3, 2015 0
oldbearnews editor

Quit possibly the most famous reindeer - and he does it again!!!












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The legend of the spider in the Christmas tree

oldbearnews editor








A poor but hard-working widow once lived in a small hut with her children. One summer day, a pine cone fell on the earthen floor of the hut and took root. The widow's children cared for the tree, excited at the prospect of having a Christmas tree by winter. The tree grew, but when Christmas Eve arrived, they could not afford to decorate it. The children sadly went to bed and fell asleep.
Early the next morning, they woke up and saw the tree covered with cobwebs. When they opened the windows, the first rays of sunlight touched the webs and turned them into gold and silver. The widow and her children were overjoyed. From then on, they never lived in poverty again.


A variant of this story goes like this:

A long time ago in Germany, a mother was busily cleaning for Christmas. The spiders fled to the attic to escape the broom. When the house became quiet the spiders slowly crept downstairs for a peek. Oh what a beautiful tree!
In their excitement they scurried up the trunk and out along each branch. They were filled with happiness as they climbed amongst the glittering beauty.
But alas! By the time they were through climbing, the tree was completely shrouded in their dusty grey spider webs.
When Santa Claus came with the gifts for the children and saw the tree covered with spider webs, he smiled as he saw how happy the spiders were, but knew how heartbroken the mother would be if she saw the tree covered with the dusty webs. So he turned the webs to silver and gold. The tree sparkled and shimmered and was even more beautiful than before.

That's why we have tinsel on our tree and every tree should have a Christmas spider in it's branches !



The origins
of the folk tale are unknown, but it is believed to have come from either Germany or Ukraine.   In Germany, Poland, and Ukraine, finding a spider or a spider's web on a Christmas tree is considered good luck. Ukrainians also create small Christmas tree ornaments in the shape of a spider (known as pavuchky, literally "little spider"), usually made of paper and wire. They also decorate Christmas trees with artificial spider webs. The tradition of using tinsel is also said to be because of this story.

It may be based on an older European superstition about spiders bringing luck (though not black spiders in Germany),  or conversely that it is bad luck to destroy a spider's web before the spider is safely out of the way first.


Have fun



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